Hello Roger,
Have you asked about the significance of the degree and rate of rise and/or fall in your PSA?
1 out of 40 samples positive sound promising. A PSA above the normal range for your age does not sound so good. At 55 years old with PSA 5.5 rising to 6.4 in 8 weeks, the NHS moved quickly.
If you ask the consultant about what they recommend, I would also ask how certain they are, and if they have made such "guesstimations" in the past? Also, how have these past decisions panned out for patients if and when further treatment had been required? How good was/is their guesswork?
As far as I am aware the only certain means of determining staging is by cutting up the gland in a dish in a laboratory. I am not aware of anyone who's staging has been downgraded. I was T2b on diagnosis, thought to be contained, upgraded T3a, touching the wall at pathology.
There are no guarantees with any form of treatment. It's not like trying to find the Ace from a set of face down cards knowing there is an Ace among them. Sometimes there is no Ace.
Research wisely, not too widely, to your satisfaction, then and only then choose, taking into account your physical and mental approach. Your appetite for risk, if you wait a bit longer?
No one knows when your particular roller coaster will stop climbing, and run.
atb
dave